by Linda Lee on
February 8th, 2010
I had a lovely Sunday. Colin, Luise, Jessica and Marcus slept over. The kids love a sleepover. We had pancakes for brunch. I made some batter and the kids put strawberries, bananas and chocolate chips into custom pancakes. After that we watched Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs. I have to say that Jessica liked Walt Disney’s Snow White (which we watched the night before) a whole lot better. Walt Disney had magic.
After the kids left the day was full of bridge. I pondered systems over 2
. Do you like playing control showing responses? I was thinking about inverting 2
to show more controls than 2
because it seems to me that when you have more controls you need more space not less. Thoughts on this matter are welcome.
Later on I watched the finals of Women’s Canadian curling while I played some bridge. Fortunately I have a TV mounted right beside my computer. (Okay maybe my bridge playing was a touch distracted). It was an exciting final and an interesting display of “fear of winning”. Going into End 8 out of 10 the Prince Edward Island team had a formidable two point lead with the hammer. They did badly in eight, nine and ten and eventually lost in an extra end. It was as if knowing that they would be the first team ever to win a major curling championship from PEI, the pressure was just too much.
Back at my bridge game, this deal provided a bit of a bidding challenge for me. I held:
A94
Q54
A107
KQJ2
I opened 1NT in second chair and partner raised to 4NT. Is slam worth a go? I have 16 points right in the middle of the range and the spot in diamonds and spades might be helpful. The
J is a better card than than some jacks. But I decided to pass.
It was the 4-3-3-3 shape that did me in. I was happy I had passed when I saw my partner’s hand. She had
J32
AJ
KQJ
A9854
6NT is not a good spot. It does have some play. If the heart finesse works you might make via a squeeze of some sort. If my LHO holds the top two spades along with the heart king there is a simple squeeze and it works with or without the count. You can just run winners or you can lead a spade towards the jack earlier on.
Is 6
better? It requires less card reading but it does need the same holdings in the east-west hand. Best to play in game as we did. Well done partner. If she had transferred to clubs and then bid 4NT (as I might have done) we would have been in the poor slam.
Here was one more interesting decision. Your hand is:
3
AK7532
Q54
KQ43
Your partner opens 1
at favorable vulnerable and RHO bid 1
. You bid 2
and partner bids 2NT. Righty isn’t finished; vulnerable or no, he bids 3
. What do you do?
I think double here should just show a good hand. You can’t have trump. You are just setting up a force and letting partner decide. You could bid 3NT or 4
but maybe you are better defending. Let partner decide. That was the decision of my expert partner and it was a very good one.
I held:
QJ6
J6
KJ1062
A102
I wasn’t sure it was the right thing to do but with only one spade stopper I was going to have to run nine tricks in 3NT and I didn’t fancy the 5-2 in hearts (which broke 5-1 not too surprisingly). 3
doubled only went down one but this was a great result since we could make nothing.
Just after this I had a session with Colin. Here is another deal in my series bidding slams without Blackwood. With both side not vulnerable Colin held
875
AKQJ9
A2
K73
He opened 1
strong and I bid 2NT. This shows 12-14 HCP, with no suit longer than five cards. RHO bid 4
, and Colin bid 4
, showing his suit. He knew that I had a good hand and it was important to get his suit in. I wouldn’t give up on a suitable hand. I had
AQJ
10653
K943
A9
I suppose I could bid 4NT, keycard. If I do Colin will bid 5
(3). I could bid 5
which would get 6
. I could bid 6
and Colin would bid 6
which would end the auction. There is nothing wrong with this auction.
But once Colin shows a hand worth 16 points or more and hearts nothing is keeping me from slam. The bigger issue is should we be in 7. Would Colin go to the grand with the hand below over keycard? I don’t think so.
87
AKQ932
AQ
K73
What I actually did was bid 5
over 4
. Colin bid 5
and I bid 5
. Colin bid 6
which was doubled. I bid 6
. Now would Colin have bid 7
on the hand above? I pretty well have to have the diamond king, club ace, and the spade king at least. Do I absolutely have to have the spade ace? It seems likely. We will never know the answer.
Colin had to play carefully because the hearts were 4-1 and the long hearts had four clubs (and fortunately also the
K. A dummy reversal looks attractive (ruffing diamonds in the long hand) but in fact I believe it needs the same things.
Do you like my bid on the next hand or not?
97
J42
K3
AQJ642
Red on white 1
was opened in front of me and I bid 2
which worked out well when we won the auction with 3
. I know I don’t have much but my bid takes up a lot of space and other excuses. Here is a second slam hand (I wimped out and bid Blackwood.) However I think the play is the thing on this board.
We arrived in 6
after Colin showed five clubs, heart support and stuff.
Colin
A4
975
KQ4
A9864
Me
K763
AKJ82
A
K102
The opening lead was the
J. Maybe the best line is to draw trump. Suppose I win the spade in dummy and hook the heart. I can win the return, say a club in hand. Draw another round of trump and play spades ruffing the third round in dummy. I can get back to my hand with a diamond and draw the rest of the trump. If trump behaves decently I can throw my losers on the diamonds, twelve tricks. If the heart finesse wins I follow the same line but I have extra chances.
What does this line need? Only one heart loser basically. If hearts are 3-2 and the finesse loses then I can’t stand spade ruff of the second round or a spade ruff in the third round with the
10. I think any line involving setting up the clubs is just not as good (even though the club spots are nice).
What I actually did was win the spade in hand and start with a high trump from hand. When the
10 came down on the first round I was much better position for a spade ruff so I stopped drawing trump, cashed the diamond, crossed on a spade, played diamonds pitching my losers, returned on the
K, ruffed a spade and played the
9. LHO, who started with
Qxxx, could only make one trump trick. I still don’t know what the mathematically best line is. I just know mine worked. I had the added disadvantage of a kibbitzer (who shall not be named) standing in my office and yelling at me to do the wrong things. Here is the whole deal and if you have some comments I would be interested.
| |
A4
975
KQ4
A9864 |
|
Q1085
Q643
9872
5 |
|
J92
10
J10653
QJ73 |
| |
K763
AKJ82
A
K102 |
|
I had one other hand that Colin announced was Linda proof but it really wasn’t. Here was the hand which I did make (but not without some sweat).
| |
1094
QJ98
K10864
9 |
|
| |
|
|
| |
A5
AK102
AJ74
KQ5 |
|
After opening 2NT I arrived in 4
. I won the opening lead of the
K and tried two rounds of trump with RHO showing out on the second round (won in dummy). I tried a club from dummy. RHO won the
K with the
A and played two rounds of spades.
| |
10
Q9
K10864
– |
|
| |
|
|
| |
–
K10
AJ74
Q5 |
I ruffed high and drew the remaining trump in two rounds. Now all I had to do was guess diamonds. About this point I am thinking couldn’t I have played this hand on a safer line. Well, if you are going to play like this you better be able to guess well. I don’t really have a count. I know RHO has four hearts and three spades and some clubs. I am missing nine clubs so if they split somewhat equally he has three or four of them at least. I think he is odds on to be short in diamonds.
I played the
K and both followed (rats). Now I am thinking diamonds were never bid by our side. With four trump and a spade sequence how likely is it that you would lead your stiff diamond? I decided not that likely so I finessed and that was right. So it was Linda proof and I made five in the end. Given that I only had to make four maybe its safer to play diamonds earlier! Perhaps I should duck the opening spade lead, win the continuation, play the two top hearts and then play diamonds finessing. West can ruff but I still make it.
| |
1094
QJ98
K10864
9 |
|
KQJ3
7654
9
A864 |
|
8762
3
Q32
J10732 |
| |
A5
AK102
AJ74
KQ5 |
|
by Linda Lee on
January 31st, 2010
Don’t read on unless you are into rather dull analysis but here goes…
I came on to watch the last board or two of an Icelandic match on BBO. This rather interesting hand came up. I have rotated the deal.
Both tables reached 6
and I can tell you right now it is not a “Bob Hamman” slam. On the lie of the cards it doesn’t make. So as declarer struggled we had an abstract discussion about whether it was or was not a 50% slam. My argument was that it makes almost all the time the
K is onside and some times if it is offside. Having played with the hand in Deep Finesse I can tell you that if I put the
K onside it makes every time double dummy. That doesn’t mean you will make it all the time. The trouble with that sort of analysis is that declarer gets to pick one line and he may not always find the one that works. If declarer had the
9 he would be better off but if he plays to basically draw trump and take a ruffing finesse in clubs as he line of choice lets see how that works out.
So let’s pick a line and then see how it works on the various breaks.
You win a diamond lead in dummy and you play a high spade. East wins and returns a heart. You try the ruffing finesse twice (you can’t stand a 6-1 break most of the time), nobody covers but it works. You lead a small club and ruff high. If East follows the
K is coming down so you can just draw trump and claim. If East shows out then you do have a guess. You cross to hand on a red suit ruff and ruff the last club high. Now you lead a spade from dummy and have to decide whether to play for spades 2-2 or for East to have the
9. You have a reasonable amount of information about the hand by this time having played quite a few cards. Generally the finesse is probably right.
This line requires the
K onside and works when the clubs are 4-3 and the spades are 3-1 or 2-2 with almost no exceptions. It works if clubs are 5-2 and spades are 3-1 or 2-2 and the ruffing finesse works except if the
9 is doubleton or tripleton with the clubs.
This line is obviously less than 50% but it does exclude the chance that the defenders will help out a bit. A trump lead would help (and a club but that seems very unlikely to impossible). A heart lead might be a bit helpful as it does allow some play in the heart suit which might work on some distributions.
Can we improve this line? It might be better to try for some cases where the club king is short offside even if that gives up on some of the hands where the trump break 3-1 in the offside hand. Is it wise to bring hearts into the mix? I don’t think so after the diamond lead.
If we change the line so we start with a trump and play a small club when in hand with a heart and then cash a high trump in dummy we have some decent changes when the trump are 2-2 and the
K is offside doubleton or even in some cases where trumps are 3-1. Does this bring it back to 50%? I don’t think so.
With due consideration this contract is less than 50% but close enough that considering the choice of opening lead and possibly less than accurate defense its within spitting distance of that number.
I admit this type of analysis is tricky but it was sort of fun to do. If anybody wants to take it the next step. Enjoy!
by Linda Lee on
January 30th, 2010
Commentary on matches on BBO takes some skill to do right. At least I think it does. There are different approaches. One approach is what I would call the macho man . This person is invariably male and he is there so everyone can appreciate how very well he can see the hand. Before a bid is made he is calling the result. His focus is on dummy play and he expects to dominate the chat. He speaks with disdain at almost anything anyone else has and never admits an error.
Macho man can be a good analyst or a poor one. He is often talking double dummy. Poor declarer doesn’t always know how the cards lie. Macho man always has a reason why declarer should drop the stiff king offside or take an unusual finesse.
Then there is chatty Cathy. Chatty may be male of female and just is in there to say something anything. She will repeat exactly how you can find the scores for the match or what the weather is like or just about anything else, occasionally even talking about the game.
Then there is the lawyer. He will argue with anybody about anything. Some times he has favorite “opponents”, sorry I mean fellow commentators. David Bird has one who apparently never ever agrees with anything he says.
In general I am much happier commenting when there are no more than 2 others. Its hard to have any sort of intelligent discussion otherwise.
All this being said, I commented on two matches today. One just for a few deals was very pleasant and interesting. The second was more of a struggle with just too many people. I probably wasn’t at my best. I do have an unfortunate habit of sometimes saying the opposite of what I mean. He should lead a spade, no I mean heart. I usually have a chance to correct my error, no harm done. But not always. I made a pretty serious analytical error on one hand but was helpfully pounced on by one of the other commentators. Fortunately the bridge was pretty interesting at times in the ten short boards.
I thought the East-West pair in my room (the OR) clearly had the best of it and the score certainly reflected this. Even when they made contracts I didn’t always like their approach. Here is an example.
North had limited his hand to 7 points after his partner opened a strong club. South showed a strong notrump 15-17. What would you bid on this hand:
Pass comes to my mind. Even if I was playing Garbage Stayman where partner is forced to bid his better major I would pass. Our North bid Stayman and they played in 2NT (as opposed to 1NT at the other table). Declarer made it by guessing how to play diamonds with A10432 opposite dummy’s J6. As it was all was very friendly. So this one got by.
This is an opening lead problem
You overcall 1
with 1
. Your LHO shows a game force with clubs and checks for a spade stopper. Your RHO bids 3NT. RHO has Qxx of spades almost certainly. Maybe Qxxx. Do you lay down an honor or do you lead a small one or how about a clever red suit lead?
Actually anything but a small spade works. The spade gives declarer nine tricks without a club finesse. On any other lead declarer must take a club finesse to partner and the spade return picks up declarer’s Qxx.
I would have lead the
A myself and I would not have lead the
J as did our South.
J is really only right if declarer has QXXX and partner has XX and partner doesn’t have two side winners. Partner could easily have a stiff spade so I see an argument for a red card.
This is quite a sad hand. South was the perpetrator of a bridge crime. I think if you wanted to pick one of the seven deadly sins it would be SLOTH. Here is the hand.
North opens 1
and East overcalls 1
. You double and West bids 2
. Partner doubles, you bid 2
and partner raises to 4. The opening lead is the
J.
How do you play this hand?
You can see that you have three clubs, two diamonds, three spades in hand (at least). If you can make a heart ruff or two in dummy there is no problem at all. An alternative approach is to set up diamonds. Hearts seems a bit safer. You win the opening club lead and play a heart. If you do this you have very little risk. Our declarer started with trump Winning the club in dummy to play clubs, he ran the
Q and J. This won but West showed out on the second round. He played one round of diamonds both following love and now he changed course and belatedly played the heart. East won and returned a trump won in hand.
At this point South has some guessing to do. One approach is to ruff a heart, cross back on a club, draw the last trump and take five minor suit tricks, four spades, and a heart ruff. But East is known to be 4-5-?-? with at least one club. This line will fail if West has only one club. Is there any line that works on more minor suit distributions?
Let’s say you play the
Q now. If East shows out he cannot ruff. Diamonds are 3-3 and you can’t be stopped from setting up diamonds with your clubs as an entry (or a heart ruff). So let’s say he discards a heart. Now you play ruff out the diamonds. Cross to dummy on a club and let East make his trump whenever he wants. If East shows in I would probably finesse the diamond. If East wins and returns a trump I win and repeat the finesse. If East plays hearts now you have to ruff in dummy and decide the distribution.
Anyway, the real mistake on the hand was at trick two.
I am tired and sleepy, time for a nap.
by Linda Lee on
January 28th, 2010
Ray and I just got back from Vancouver where for once the whole family was together. He was sick while we were out there and now it is my turn. So my brain is not only jet lagged but also diseased.
Ratbert finished going through the Love problems and if my brain cooperates I am going to try to work through the corrections now so the problems should be online in a few days. The new books came into today and I love my Love. Its really got a great cover. If you want a look at it here is the link on Amazon
Love Revised And Beautiful
I have my own author copy to admire.
I was thinking that my next project along with fund raising for Canadian teams, ABTA teacher of the year, ebooks and marketing ,.. would be more software from our current books. When Luise gets back I will get her to show me how to work with the LIN files.
I have been thinking about the Hall of Fame and I really believe that players should be chosen based on ability as well as results. I know its hard to evaluate ability but that is why you have selectors. If it was only on results you could do it with a computer and a spreadsheet.
But, the Hall of Fame I want to see would have players from all over the world. And I like the idea of having a player category along with say a builder category for people who contributed as great writers, (Terence Reese perhaps, he may be too tainted as a player but he wrote some great books) or administrators.
I did try to play mini-bridge with my older grandsons and they really like playing cards. I downloaded the BBO client and I am hoping that Cassidy will join me online soon. He is 10 very bright and really eager. His seven year old brother Malcolm loves cards too.
So if you see Cassidy99 on BBO say hi to him.
I am taking my cloudy brain to bed now.
by Linda Lee on
January 21st, 2010
Judy Wolff has been discussing the issues with what I think of as the American Bridge Hall of Fame. I say this because the only players in it are Americans. A few Canadian players are included in different categories but not nominated as players. As a result the Canadian Bridge Federation will be establishing a Canadian Bridge Hall of Fame and it will be interesting to see how they set up the process.
After reading Judy’s blogs and some emails and some comments I thought I might look at the Baseball Hall of Fame. To me it is the pinnacle of such ventures. I have been to Cooperstown more than once and it is well worth the visit. It goes far beyond honoring the best of baseball. I love it.
Players can be elected by the Baseball Writer’s Association or by the Veteran’s Committee. The Veteran’s Committee considers non-players such as managers, umpires or executives as well as players back further in time. While the writers are focused on players who have retired more recently.
Any writers association members ( for bridge IBPA members) for at least ten years can nominate players. The players they select must have played in the major leagues 5-20 years before the date of the election. (For bridge players above 60 and perhaps no more than 90, alive or dead).
The next step is for nominees to go through a screening committee. The committee consist of 6 writers appointed by the BBWAA (like the IBPA). There screening committee votes and basically the player must get at least 2 votes. From zero to 10 candidates are put on the ballet and their are no write-in. The player must receive 75% of the vote of the writers association membership.
Now here are the criteria used by the screening committee: record, ability, integrity, sportsmanship, character, and contribution to the teams he played on.
The veteran’s committee is comprised of members who are Hall of Famers. Candidates must have been retired 21 years but otherwise the process is identical (for bridge players alive or dead above 90 perhaps).
It is a lengthy process but players who make it to the HoF deserve it.
So what should bridge do? Some thing along the same lines. By broaden t
Would this work for bridge? I think so. Although perhaps there are not enough reliable members of the IBPA to make it work and others might be added. Maybe the IBPA isn’t the right body. What do you think?
I think the idea of having a player category and a builder and administrator category is pretty good. And hey if you don’t want to include Canadians its okay with me but maybe you should change the name. But please add the criteria skill to the decision making and don’t make it solely on record. It is important in baseball where you can be a good player on a bad team and vice versa. It is important in bridge too.
Without that criteria you might as well call it the American Bridge Hall of people who won a lot of things. If you are going that route you don’t really need selectors. Just get a printout of the players from the US who have won the most events and aren’t currently in the ABHPWWLT. Its kind of a master point scheme really. You will need to think about how to fit women and seniors into the ABHPWWLT since they can win a lot of things too in their own events.
by Linda Lee on
January 18th, 2010
If you are waiting for the Love problems they are delayed a bit. Colin (alias Ratbert) is reviewing them and he has found some problems with them so we are waiting for him to finish so we can correct them. It won’t be that long so stay posted.
Bob MacKinnon’s new book Bridge, Probability and Information is available for download now from www.ebooksbridge.com. In his book, Bob explains how information theory can provide some practical answers to bridge problems. That is, some ideas that will make you a better bridge player. There will also be free downloads are available to accompany Bob MacKinnon’s book shortly. The supplemental material is free to everyone, however, it does some times go beyond the ideas in the book so it may not be for everyone. But if you are interested in seeing how probability changes over time and how knowing vacant spaces (that is the number of cards in a particular hand still not placed in suits) you can make better decisions. The download on virtual vacant spaces starts out with a diamond lead against declarer’s spade contract. Can that help to decide which defender has the trump queen? How does it change the odds? There are six missing diamonds. Suppose you can deduce that the diamond lead is from length. How does that change the probabilities? I seem to remember somebody once telling me it doesn’t change it because after all the defender had to lead something. But not so.
I know that I have heard people talk about using a different point count scale and I know that I upgrade aces and kings and downgrade queens and jacks. Bob shows a mathematicians view of point count. How do you feel about 6-4-2-1? Read about Opening Bids On A Different Scale.
Divisions of Sides? This is a concept that is discussed in Bob’s book where he looks at how suits split between defenders and declarers. So a 7-7-7-5 division of sides is the most balanced. That is neither side has a fit of more than seven cards. What does this mean? Do you want to play or defend? Bob talks a bit about this. But if you read this article you will probably need to peak at the book to fully see how sides affect things and how you can use this concept.
The Clyde Love ebook is also available now. I am not sure about the problems … so as we say in the office, “more Love to come.”